How we know it works

In-depth synthetic clone stress testing, where true value is known
Net present value methods
Corroborating evidence: the model predicts the marks GPs go on to report
GP NAVs are modelled as smoothed true values (one begets the other)
Among other examinations…Each is discussed in more detail in the case study paper.

Simulation

Synthetic clones & stress tests: where the true value is known, NAVcast™ tracks it

NPV

NPV test: on real funds, NAVcast™ values match the cash funds later paid out

GP NAV

Corroborating evidence: the model predicts the marks GPs go on to report